• Scott St. George

    Environmental volatility | Paleoclimate | Natural hazards

    I am an Associate Professor of Geography, Environment and Society, and Institute on the Environment Fellow at the University of Minnesota. I'm also a Humboldt Research Fellow at the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (Germany), an Adjunct Professor in the School of Environmental Studies at Queen’s University (Canada), and an International Member of the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Discovery Grants Panel "1506 Geosciences".

     

    I am a physical geographer who specializes in environment volatility and its short-, intermediate- and long-term impacts on water resources, natural hazards, and human society. Because environmental systems vary on all time scales, understanding both their past changes and likely future behavior is absolutely crucial to ensure the safety of our communities and the security of our shared natural heritage. As a paleoclimatologist, I use evidence preserved in biological and geological archives to trace the history of Earth’s climate during the past several hundred or thousands of years, allowing us to set modern trends against a much longer context and to discover earlier events that are exceptional when compared to their more recent equivalents. And my group brings the same long-term thinking to bear on contemporary climate change, with active projects focused on decadal climate variability, hazard risk assessments, and renewable energy production. By looking backwards and forwards at the same time, our research aims to expand our perspective beyond the immediate present so we may better anticipate our environmental future, with particular attention given to topics related to climate, forests, and surface hydrology. Members of our group are currently leading field studies in the United States, Canada, Nepal, and Azerbaijan, and our work has received financial support from the US National Science Foundation, the US National Parks Service, the Humboldt Foundation, Environment Canada, Manitoba Hydro, and the University of Minnesota.

     

    Previously, I was a Research Scientist in the Geological Survey of Canada at Natural Resources Canada. I received my doctorate in geosciences from the University of Arizona, where I was affiliated with the Department of Geosciences and the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research. I hold an M.Sc. in Geography from the University of Western Ontario and a B.Sc. in Geography from the University of Winnipeg.

  • Announcements & news

    Short blurbs on our latest products, upcoming meetings, and research opportunities at the University of Minnesota's Center for Dendrochronology.

    I’m seeking to recruit a graduate student (beginning Fall 2019) to join an NSF-funded project on extreme paleofloods on the northern Great Plains. This position, which will be co-supervised by me and Dr. Joe Zeleznik (North Dakota State University), will combine methods from dendrochronology,...
    Earlier this summer I received news that colleagues at McGill University have won a seven-year Partnership Grant from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada. This award will support a new international collaboration with researchers in Canada, the United States, Europe,...
    I won't lie -- I think this is pretty cool. Physics Today is the flagship magazine of the American Institute of Physics, and is read by members of more than 10 scientific societies, including the American Meteorological Society (but apparently not AGU any longer).
    More Posts
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  • Recent and forthcoming publications

    A complete list of my publications and other work is available via my c.v. [PDF], as well as my Google Scholar and ResearchGate profiles.

    Increased drought intensity driven by warming in the United States’ largest river basin

    Justin Martin, Gregory Pederson, Connie Woodhouse, Edward Cook, Gregory McCabe, Kevin Anchukaitis, Erika Wise, Patrick Erger, Larry Dolan, Marketa McGuire, Subhrendu Gangopadhyay, Katherine Chase, Jeremy Littell, Stephen Gray, Scott St. George, Jonathan Friedman, David Sauchyn, Jeannine St. Jacques, John King

    Potential winter moisture signals in pine ring-widths, Koshi River basin, eastern Nepal

    Uday Thapa, Scott St. George

    Warfare dendrochronology and the German super battleship Tirpitz’s deployment to Norway

    Claudia Hartl, Scott St. George, Oliver Konter, Andreas Kirchhefer, Jan Esper [BBC Science] [Eos] [As It Happens] [Smithsonian Magazine] [El Pais]

    Temperature-sensitive tree-ring widths and density data for North America

    Gregory Pederson, Kevin Anchukaitis, Cody Routson, Nick McKay, Scott St. George

    Concord and discord among Northern Hemisphere temperature reconstructions from tree rings

    Scott St. George, Jan Esper (in revision)

    A 1200+ year reconstruction of temperature extremes for the northeastern Mediterranean region

    Lara Klippel, Paul Krusic, Oliver Konter, Scott St. George, Valerie Trouet, Jan Esper (in revision)

    The weight of the flood-of-record in flood frequency analysis

    Scott St. George, Manfred Mudelsee, Journal of Flood Risk Management (revision under review)

    Interpreting historical, geological, and botanical evidence to aid preparations for future floods

    PAGES Floods Working Group, WIREs Water e1318, 2018 [DOI]

    High-elevation mountain hemlock growth as a surrogate for cool-season precipitation in Crater Lake National Park, USA

    Sarah Appleton, Scott St. George, Dendrochronologia 52, 20-28, 2018 [DOI]

    Unravelling the mysteries of megadrought

    Toby Ault, Scott St. George, Physics Today 71, 44-50, 2018 [DOI] [Physics Today companion]

    Large-scale, millennial-length temperature reconstructions from tree rings

    Jan Esper, Scott St. George, Kevin Anchukaitis, Roseanne D'Arrigo, Fredrik Ljungqvist, Jurg Luterbacher, Lea Schneider, Markus Stoffel, Rob Wilson, Ulf Büntgen, Dendrochronologia 50, 81-90, 2018 [DOI]

    Technical Note: Open-paleo-data implementation pilot – The PAGES 2k special issue

    Darrell Kaufman and the PAGES 2k Special-Issue Editorial Team, Climate of the Past 14, 593-600, 2018 [DOI]

    Mississippi rising

    Scott St. George, Nature 556, 34-35, 2018 [DOI] [Scientific American] [Washington Post]

    Site-specific climatic signals in stable isotope records from Swedish pine forests

    Jan Esper, Steffen Holzkämper, Ulf Büntgen, Bernd Schöne, Frank Keppler, Claudia Hartl, Scott St. George, Dana Riechelmann, Kerstin Treydte,Trees 32, 855-869, 2018 [DOI] [Editor's highlight]

    A robust null hypothesis for the potential causes of western megadrought

    Toby Ault, Scott St. George, Jason Smerdon, Sloan Coats, Justin Mankin, Carlos Carillo, Ben Cook, Samantha Stevenson, Journal of Climate 31, 3-24, 2018 [DOI] [Eureka Alert] [Cornell Chronicle] [Newsweek] [Physics Today]

    Fossil forest reveals sunspot activity in the early Permian: COMMENT

    Scott St. George, Richard Telford, Geology 45, e427, 2017 {DOI]

    A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era

    PAGES 2k Consortium, Scientific Data, 2017 [DOI] [Eureka Alert]

    Tree growth across the Nepal Himalaya during the last four centuries

    Udya Thapa, Scott St. George, Deepak Kharal, Narayan Gaire, Progress in Physical Geography 41, 478-495, 2017 [DOI]

    The third phase of the PAGES 2k Network

    PAGES 2k Coordinators, Joint publication of CLIVAR Exchanges and Past Global Changes Magazine, 2017 [DOI]

    Editorial: Decadal Climate Variability

    Yochanin Kushnir, Christophe Cassou, Scott St. George, Joint publication of CLIVAR Exchanges and Past Global Changes Magazine, 2017 [DOI]

    Making climate data sing — Using music-like sonifications to convey a key climate record

    Scott St. George, Daniel Crawford, Todd Reubold, Elizabeth Giorgi, The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98, 23-27, 2017 [DOI] [Nature Climate Change]

    Tree-climate relations along an elevational transect in Manang Valley, central Nepal

    Deepak Kharal, Udya Thapa, Scott St. George, Henrik Meilby, Santosh Rayamajhi, Dinesh Bhuju, Dendrochronologia 41, 57-64, 2017 [DOI]

    On the AD 1815 Tambora eruption and the matter of misplaced tree rings

    Scott St. George, Kevin Anchukaitis, Past Global Changes Magazine 23, 2015 [PDF]

    A review of flood records from tree rings

    Juan Antonio Ballesteros-Cánovas, Markus Stoffel, Scott St. George, Katherine Hirschboeck, Progress in Physical Geography 39, 794-816, 2015 [DOI]

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  • Current and FORMER GROUP MEMBERS

    I advise students enrolled in the M.A. and Ph.D. programs in Geography and am able to serve on graduate committees for students completing other degree programs at Minnesota. My students have won major university- and college-level awards, and alumni members of my group are employed by state and federal agencies and major non-profits or are pursuing doctoral degrees at other leading institutions.

    Uday Kunwar Thapa

    Ph.D. in Geography (in progress)

    Dissertation title: Evaluating the magnitude and causes of climate and hydrological variability across the Nepalese Himalaya during the last several centuries

    ReseachGate

    Mara McPartland

    Ph.D. in Geography (in progress)

    Amanda Hefner

    M.A. in Geography (in progress)

    Thesis title: Holocene paleofloods in the United States and their relevance to flood mitigation, hazard assessment and policy

    ResearchGate

    Dr. Farid Seyfullayev

    Fulbright Visiting Scholar, 2018

    Award title: Studying climate change and reconstruction of past climate, floods and extreme events using dendrochronological methods in Azerbaijan

    Xinran (Julina) Duan

    B.Sc. in Mathematics (in progress)

    Undergraduate research project: Quantifying long-term trends in the Red River of the North

    Jacob Arndt

    B.Sc. in Geography, 2016

    Undergraduate research project: Climate variability and its relationship with air travel times in the Seattle-Minneapolis corridor

    Current position: Graduate research assistant, University of Minnesota

    Dan Crawford

    B.Sc. in Geography, 2015

    Undergraduate research project: Expressing global temperature change through music

    Current position: Graduate student, University of Minnesota

    Sarah Appleton

    M.A. in Geography, 2015

    Thesis title: Mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) growth and cool-season precipitation in Crater Lake National Park, Oregon

    Current position: Education Product and Programs Specialist, National Geographic

    Emily Smoter

    B.Sc. in Plant Biology, 2014

    Directed research project: Growth boundaries of Swietenia macrophylla and Cedrela odorata from a subtropical dry forest in Guanacaste, Costa Rica and their potential application in dendrochronology

    Current position: State Environmental Manager, Minnesota Air National Guard

    Xiaolu (Grace) Li

    M.A. in Geography, 2014

    Thesis title: Assessing forward modeling of tree-ring growth and the impacts of non-climatic factors on tree-ring width in the Northern Hemisphere

    Current position: Doctoral candidate, Cornell University

    Max Torbenson

    M.A. in Geography, 2013

    Thesis title: Assessing the response of upper montane forests to decadal variability in winter precipitation

    Current position: Doctoral candidate, University of Arkansas

    Erika Wertz

    B.Sc. (Honors) in Geography, 2012
    Thesis title: Testing whether vessel characteristics in bur oak can serve as proxies for severe Red River floods within the United States

    Current position: Forest Health Specialist, Idaho Department of Lands

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  • Visual aids

    I regularly lecture on climate change, water resources, tree rings, and scientific presentations. Visual aids for some of my recent talks are available to view online at Slideshare.

    Disentangling the decadal ‘knot’ in high-resolution paleoclimatology

    In this talk, we’ll discuss some of the challenges inherent to the use of high-resolution proxies to study decadal or multi-decadal climate variability, and suggest strategies that might clarify how climate acts on those timescales.

    The need for new theory in global dendroclimatology

    We hope this talk will encourage the sharing of ideas on how best to extract climate information from the ever-expanding network of tree-ring records across our planet and help open a discussion on the relevance of our standard theoretical framework to contemporary global dendroclimatology.

    Solar ghosts: Weighing the evidence for sunspot cycles in fossil trees

    In this talk, I argue the fossil tree-ring record from Chemnitz does not constitute reliable evidence of solar activity during the Permian because the individual tree-ring sequences are not correctly aligned and, as a result, the mean ring-width composite is not a meaningful estimate of year-to-year variations in tree growth in this ancient forest.

    Long droughts: Using natural climate archives to gage the risks of future “megadroughts”

    In this short talk, I’ll describe how climate scientists combine clues from natural weather archives (including corals, tree rings, lake sediments, and many other sources) to reveal the history of ancient megadroughts across our planet.

    Expecting the unexpected: The relevance of old floods to modern hydrology

    Because large floods are rare and river gage records are short, the conventional approach to flood-frequency analysis can sometimes drastically underestimate the threat posed to communities and infrastructure by extreme floods. In this lecture, I’ll argue that paleoflood hydrology is absolutely essential to judge the real risk of large, rare floods.

    What to expect when you’re expecting decadal variability in hydroclimatic proxies

    if simulated drought patterns generated by a simple statistical emulator are able to match the frequency, intensity, or spatial extent of droughts reconstructed by proxies, that implies that exotic forcings are not required to produce widespread megadroughts in the western United States.

    Trees as flood sensors

    Future paleoflood research involving tree rings will need to strike a balance between improving our understanding of the biological and fluvial processes that link tree growth to past events, and providing answers to questions about flood dynamics and hazards that are needed to safeguard people and property from future floods.

     

    Making climate data sing

    Music is inherently narrative and is known to exert a powerful influence on human emotions. Here we report on a collaboration between scientists and artists at the University of Minnesota that uses data sonification with added musical elements to transmit the evidence of climate change in an engaging and visceral way.

    Large-scale dendrochronology and low-frequency climate variability

    As the leading source of high-resolution paleoclimate information in the middle- and high-latitudes, tree rings are essential to understand low-frequency variability prior to the instrumental period. In this lecture, I described the structure and characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere tree-ring width network, and outlined how the fingerprint of decadal and multidecadal climate variability encoded within ancient trees varies across the hemisphere.

    Noah, Joseph, and high-resolution paleoclimatology

    In 1968, Benoit Mandelbrot and James Wallis published an article titled ‘Noah, Joseph, and operational Hydrology’ in the journal Water Resources Research. In it, they argued that hydrological models of the day were not able to estimate the true risk of extreme floods or prolonged drought, and that rare hydrological events were much more common than usually assumed. In this lecture, I’ll review how high-resolution paleoenvironmental archives can help us judge more accurately the risks posed by the ‘Noah’- and ‘Joseph’-style events described by Mandelbrot and Wallis.

    Guarding against false discovery in large-scale dendrochronology

    Measurements of tree-ring widths are the most widely-distributed and best replicated source of surrogate environmental information on the planet, and are one of the main archives used to estimate changes in regional and global climate during the past several centuries or millennia. Because the Northern Hemisphere ring-width network is now so large, it is more crucial than ever to ensure our understanding of tree-environment relations is not influenced by decisions to include or exclude certain records.

     

    A Song of Our Warming Planet: Using music to communicate critical concepts in climate science

    When climate science is communicated to the broader public, many of its key findings are shared in the form of conceptual diagrams or information-dense data graphics. In this collaboration, we applied a data sonification approach to express NASA’s global temperature record as a musical composition for the cello.

  • Courses

    At the undergraduate level, I teach advanced classes in dendrochronology (which uses annual growth rings in trees to understand how our environment has behaved in the past) and Holocene paleoclimatology (focused on the evolution of Earth’s climate since the end of the last ice age), as well as an introductory course in biogeography.

     

    I also offer graduate courses in paleoclimatology, climatology, and science communication, and supervises graduate students conducting research on water resources, decade-to-centennial scale climate variability, and hemispheric-scale dendroclimatology.

    GEOG1403

    Biogeography of the Global Garden

    GEOG3839/5839

    Introduction to Dendrochronology

    GEOG5426

    Climate Variations

    GEOG8260

    The Art of Scientific Presentations

    GEOG8280

    The Impact of Decadal Climate Variability on Terrestrial Ecosystems

    GEOG8280

    Frontiers in Paleoclimatology

  • Media projects

    When science is communicated to the broader public, many of its key findings are shared in the form of dense prose, conceptual diagrams or information-dense data graphics. Although those tools can be effective, they do not always offer the best way to reach every audience.

    Based on surface temperature analysis from NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, the composition 'Planetary Bands, Warming World' uses music to create a visceral encounter with more than a century’s worth of weather data collected across the northern half of the planet.

    With support from the University of Minnesota’s School of Music and its Institute on the Environment, in 2012 I began a collaborative project using music to communicate critical concepts in climate science. The first product from this collaboration was a piece written by an undergraduate student in Geography that expressed NASA’s global temperature record as a musical composition for the cello. The result, which was titled ‘A Song of Our Warming Planet’, transformed 133 years of annual global temperature anomalies into a haunting, atonal melody that stretched across almost all of the instrument’s range. Since its release in June 2013, ‘A Song of Our Warming Planet’ has been featured by several national and international media outlets, including the New York Times, the Weather Channel, and National Public Radio, and its accompanying video has received more than 140,000 views from nearly every corner of the world. Because the composition was released under a Creative Commons license, it has been performed (and in some cases, reinterpreted) by local and international artists, including musicians from Wisconsin, California, New York, Canada, and the Netherlands.

    The ability to deliver effective and engaging oral presentations is a critical skill for scholars in all disciplines. Unfortunately, despite the importance of clear communication, professional presentations about research are too often confusing, abstract and boring. In this video, I outlines five small changes you can make to become a more effective communicator.

  • Contact information

    Twitter is fastest, email is most precise, and phone is a long shot.

    Not teaching this semester, so please email or tweet at me.

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