• Scott St. George

    Paleoclimatology | Dendrochronology | Hazards

    I am an Associate Professor of Geography, Environment and Society, and Institute on the Environment Fellow at the University of Minnesota. I'm also a Humboldt Research Fellow at the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (Germany) and an Adjunct Assistant Professor in the School of Environmental Sciences at Queen’s University (Canada).

     

    As an earth scientist trained in paleoclimatology, I use evidence preserved in geological or biological archives to understand how and why our environment has changed during the last several hundred or thousands of years. By extending our perspective beyond the most recent century, my research provides a long-term benchmark to test ideas about the underlying causes of environmental change and the likely future trajectories of critical environmental systems, particularly those aspects related to forests, climate change, and surface hydrology.

     

    My research team has produced new paleoclimate records from Minnesota, California, and Oregon, and has combined empirical and modeling approaches to map the influence of climate on tree growth in forests across the Northern Hemisphere, and evaluate how trees respond to (or ignore) the influence of particular climatic and non-climatic factors. My colleagues and I have identified regions where decadal and multidecadal behavior within the climate system is particularly important, used proxy networks to estimate its progression during the past several centuries, and critically assessed the ability of current-generation climate models to simulate this particular ‘flavor’ of climate change. Overall, this research has produced new insights into how atmospheric, ecological, and geological systems act and interact, and has made communities more resilient to the impacts of climate change and natural hazards.

     

    Previously, I was a Research Scientist in the Geological Survey of Canada at Natural Resources Canada. I received my doctorate in geosciences from the University of Arizona, where I was affiliated with the Department of Geosciences and the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research. I hold an M.Sc. in Geography from the University of Western Ontario and a B.Sc. in Geography from the University of Winnipeg.

     

    Sabbatical

    During 2017, I will be on research leave and off campus and out-of-country. I'll be a visiting scientist at the Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz and Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht in Germany until the end of December.

  • Announcements & news

    Short blurbs on our latest products, upcoming meetings, and research opportunities at the University of Minnesota's Center for Dendrochronology.

  • Articles

  • Recent publications

    A complete list of my publications and other work is available via my c.v. [PDF], as well as my Google Scholar and Orcid profiles.

    Interpreting historical, geological, and botanical evidence to aid preparations for future floods

    PAGES Floods Working Group

    Temperature-sensitive tree-ring widths and density data for North America

    Gregory Pederson, Kevin Anchukaitis, Cody Routson, Nick McKay, Scott St. George

    High-elevation Tsuga mertensiana growth as a surrogate for cool-season precipitation in Crater Lake National Park, USA

    Sarah Appleton, Scott St. George, Kurt Kipfmueller

    Forward modeling of tree-climate relations across the Northern Hemisphere

    Xiaolu Li, Scott St. George, Kevin. Anchukaitis

    Site-specific climatic signals in stable isotope records from Swedish pine forests

    Jan Esper, Steffen Holzkämper, Ulf Büntgen, Bernd Schöne, Frank Keppler, Claudia Hartl-Meier, Scott St. George, Kerstin Treydte (in review)

     

    The weight of the flood-of-record in flood frequency analysis

    Scott St. George, Manfred Mudelsee (in review)

    A robust null hypothesis for the potential causes of western megadrought

    Toby Ault, Scott St. George, Jason Smerdon, Sloan Coats, Justin Mankin, Carlos Carillo, Ben Cook, Samantha Stevenson, Journal of Climate, online September 30, 2017 [DOI]

    Fossil forest reveals sunspot activity in the early Permian: COMMENT

    Scott St. George, Richard Telford, Geology 45, e427, 2017 {DOI]

    A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era

    PAGES 2k Consortium, Scientific Data, 2017 [DOI]

    Tree growth across the Nepal Himalaya during the last four centuries

    Udya Thapa, Scott St. George, Deepak Kharal, Narayan Gaire, Progress in Physical Geography 41, 478-495, 2017, [DOI]

    The third phase of the PAGES 2k Network

    PAGES 2k Coordinators, Joint publication of CLIVAR Exchanges and Past Global Changes Magazine, 2017 [DOI]

    Editorial: Decadal Climate Variability

    Yochanin Kushnir, Christophe Cassou, Scott St. George, Joint publication of CLIVAR Exchanges and Past Global Changes Magazine, 2017 [DOI]

    Making climate data sing — Using music-like sonifications to convey a key climate record

    Scott St. George, Daniel Crawford, Todd Reubold, Elizabeth Giorgi, The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98, 23-27, 2017 [DOI]

    Tree-climate relations along an elevational transect in Manang Valley, central Nepal

    Deepak K. Kharal, Udya Thapa, Scott St. George, Henrik Meilby, Santosh Rayamajhi, Dinesh Bhuju, Dendrochronologia 41, 57-64, 2017 [DOI]

    On the AD 1815 Tambora eruption and the matter of misplaced tree rings

    Scott St. George, Kevin Anchukaitis, Past Global Changes Magazine 23, 2015 [PDF]

    A review of flood records from tree rings

    Juan Antonio Ballesteros-Cánovas, Markus Stoffel, Scott St. George, Katherine Hirschboeck, Progress in Physical Geography, 2015 [DOI]

    Flooding, structural flood control measures, and recent geomorphic research along the Red River, Manitoba, Canada

    Greg Brooks, Scott St. George, In Geomorphology and Management of Embanked Floodplains: North American and European Fluvial Systems in a Era of Global Environmental Change. Springer, 2015 [DOI]

    New ages for shoreline stumps along Lake Winnipeg, Canada and their implications for paleo-lake level estimates

    Scott St. George, Max Torbenson, The Holocene 24, 1393-1397, 2014 [DOI]

    An overview of tree-ring width records across the Northern Hemisphere

    Scott St. George, Quaternary Science Reviews 95, 132-150, 2014 [DOI]

    The imprint of climate within Northern Hemisphere trees

    Scott St. George, Toby Ault, Quaternary Science Reviews 89, 1-4, 2014 [DOI]

  • Students

  • Current and past students

    I advise students enrolled in the M.A. and Ph.D. programs in Geography and am able to serve on graduate committees for students completing other degree programs at the University of Minnesota. Our graduate students have won several departmental and university-level awards, presented at major national meetings, including the Association of American Geographers and the American Geophysical Union, and graduating M.A. students have secured places within highly-regarded doctoral programs in the geosciences.

    Uday Kunwar Thapa

    Ph.D. in Geography (in progress)

    Dissertation title: Evaluating the magnitude and causes of climate and hydrological variability across the Nepalese Himalaya during the last several centuries

    ReseachGate

    Mara McPartland

    Ph.D. in Geography (in progress)

    Amanda Hefner

    M.A. in Geography (in progress)

    ResearchGate

    Xinran (Julina) Duan

    B.Sc. in Mathematics (in progress)

    Undergraduate research project: Quantifying long-term trends in the Red River of the North

    Jacob Arndt

    B.Sc. in Geography, 2016

    Undergraduate research project: Climate variability and its relationship with air travel times in the Seattle-Minneapolis corridor

    LinkedIn

    Dan Crawford

    B.Sc. in Geography, 2015

    Undergraduate research project: Expressing global temperature change through music

    LinkedIn

    Sarah Appleton

    M.A. in Geography, 2015

    Thesis title: Mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) growth and cool-season precipitation in Crater Lake National Park, Oregon

    LinkedIn

    Emily Smoter

    B.Sc. in Plant Biology, 2014

    Directed research project: Growth boundaries of Swietenia macrophylla and Cedrela odorata from a subtropical dry forest in Guanacaste, Costa Rica and their potential application in dendrochronology

    LinkedIn

    Xiaolu (Grace) Li

    M.A. in Geography, 2014

    Thesis title: Assessing forward modeling of tree-ring growth and the impacts of non-climatic factors on tree-ring width in the Northern Hemisphere

    Max Torbenson

    M.A. in Geography, 2013

    Thesis title: Assessing the response of upper montane forests to decadal variability in winter precipitation

    ResearchGate

    Erika Wertz

    B.Sc. (Honors) in Geography, 2012
    Thesis title: Testing whether vessel characteristics in bur oak can serve as proxies for severe Red River floods within the United States

    ResearchGate

  • Visual aids

  • Visual aids

    I regularly lecture on climate change, water resources, tree rings, and scientific presentations. Visual aids for some of my recent talks are available to view online at Slideshare.

    Solar ghosts: Weighing the evidence for sunspot cycles in fossil trees

    In this talk, I argue the fossil tree-ring record from Chemnitz does not constitute reliable evidence of solar activity during the Permian because the individual tree-ring sequences are not correctly aligned and, as a result, the mean ring-width composite is not a meaningful estimate of year-to-year variations in tree growth in this ancient forest.

    Long droughts: Using natural climate archives to gage the risks of future “megadroughts”

    In this short talk, I’ll describe how climate scientists combine clues from natural weather archives (including corals, tree rings, lake sediments, and many other sources) to reveal the history of ancient megadroughts across our planet.

    Expecting the unexpected: The relevance of old floods to modern hydrology

    Because large floods are rare and river gage records are short, the conventional approach to flood-frequency analysis can sometimes drastically underestimate the threat posed to communities and infrastructure by extreme floods. In this lecture, I’ll argue that paleoflood hydrology is absolutely essential to judge the real risk of large, rare floods.

    What to expect when you’re expecting decadal variability in hydroclimatic proxies

    if simulated drought patterns generated by a simple statistical emulator are able to match the frequency, intensity, or spatial extent of droughts reconstructed by proxies, that implies that exotic forcings are not required to produce widespread megadroughts in the western United States.

    Trees as flood sensors

    Future paleoflood research involving tree rings will need to strike a balance between improving our understanding of the biological and fluvial processes that link tree growth to past events, and providing answers to questions about flood dynamics and hazards that are needed to safeguard people and property from future floods.

     

    Making climate data sing

    Music is inherently narrative and is known to exert a powerful influence on human emotions. Here we report on a collaboration between scientists and artists at the University of Minnesota that uses data sonification with added musical elements to transmit the evidence of climate change in an engaging and visceral way.

    Large-scale dendrochronology and low-frequency climate variability

    As the leading source of high-resolution paleoclimate information in the middle- and high-latitudes, tree rings are essential to understand low-frequency variability prior to the instrumental period. In this lecture, I described the structure and characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere tree-ring width network, and outlined how the fingerprint of decadal and multidecadal climate variability encoded within ancient trees varies across the hemisphere.

    Noah, Joseph, and high-resolution paleoclimatology

    In 1968, Benoit Mandelbrot and James Wallis published an article titled ‘Noah, Joseph, and operational Hydrology’ in the journal Water Resources Research. In it, they argued that hydrological models of the day were not able to estimate the true risk of extreme floods or prolonged drought, and that rare hydrological events were much more common than usually assumed. In this lecture, I’ll review how high-resolution paleoenvironmental archives can help us judge more accurately the risks posed by the ‘Noah’- and ‘Joseph’-style events described by Mandelbrot and Wallis.

    Guarding against false discovery in large-scale dendrochronology

    Measurements of tree-ring widths are the most widely-distributed and best replicated source of surrogate environmental information on the planet, and are one of the main archives used to estimate changes in regional and global climate during the past several centuries or millennia. Because the Northern Hemisphere ring-width network is now so large, it is more crucial than ever to ensure our understanding of tree-environment relations is not influenced by decisions to include or exclude certain records.

     

    A Song of Our Warming Planet: Using music to communicate critical concepts in climate science

    When climate science is communicated to the broader public, many of its key findings are shared in the form of conceptual diagrams or information-dense data graphics. In this collaboration, we applied a data sonification approach to express NASA’s global temperature record as a musical composition for the cello.

    The "Year Without A Summer" was not a year without a ring

    The Tambora eruption of 1815 cooled the planet and caused the "Year Without A Summer" in western Europe and eastern North America. But was it cold enough to cause trees across the Northern Hemisphere to skip a ring?

    Seeing the forest for the tree(ring)s

    In this lecture, I describe the structure and characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere tree-ring width network, and outline how these data are linked with key aspects of local climate and the global climate system.

  • Courses

    At the undergraduate level, I teach advanced classes in dendrochronology (which uses annual growth rings in trees to understand how our environment has behaved in the past) and Holocene paleoclimatology (focused on the evolution of Earth’s climate since the end of the last ice age), as well as an introductory course in biogeography.

     

    I also offer graduate courses in paleoclimatology, climatology, and science communication, and supervises graduate students conducting research on water resources, decade-to-centennial scale climate variability, and hemispheric-scale dendroclimatology.

    GEOG1403

    Biogeography of the Global Garden

    GEOG3839/5839

    Introduction to Dendrochronology

    GEOG5426

    Climate Variations

    GEOG8260

    The Art of Scientific Presentations

    GEOG8280

    The Impact of Decadal Climate Variability on Terrestrial Ecosystems

    GEOG8280

    Frontiers in Paleoclimatology

  • Media projects

    When science is communicated to the broader public, many of its key findings are shared in the form of dense prose, conceptual diagrams or information-dense data graphics. Although those tools can be effective, they do not always offer the best way to reach every audience.

    Based on surface temperature analysis from NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, the composition 'Planetary Bands, Warming World' uses music to create a visceral encounter with more than a century’s worth of weather data collected across the northern half of the planet.

    With support from the University of Minnesota’s School of Music and its Institute on the Environment, in 2012 Dr. St. George began a collaborative project using music to communicate critical concepts in climate science. The first product from this collaboration was a piece written by an undergraduate student in Geography that expressed NASA’s global temperature record as a musical composition for the cello. The result, which was titled ‘A Song of Our Warming Planet’, transformed 133 years of annual global temperature anomalies into a haunting, atonal melody that stretched across almost all of the instrument’s range. Since its release in June 2013, ‘A Song of Our Warming Planet’ has been featured by several national and international media outlets, including the New York Times, the Weather Channel, and National Public Radio, and its accompanying video has received more than 140,000 views from nearly every corner of the world. Because the composition was released under a Creative Commons license, it has been performed (and in some cases, reinterpreted) by local and international artists, including musicians from Wisconsin, California, New York, Canada, and the Netherlands.

    The ability to deliver effective and engaging oral presentations is a critical skill for scholars in all disciplines. Unfortunately, despite the importance of clear communication, professional presentations about research are too often confusing, abstract and boring. In this video, Dr. St. George outlines five small changes you can make to become a more effective communicator.

  • Contact

  • Contact information

    Twitter is fastest, email is most precise, and phone is a long shot.

     (612) 625-0805

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